Black Li(v)es Matter vs. Facts, Stats and Logic

By Leonard Jayawardena –JUNE 30, 2020

Leonard Jayawardena

Death of George Floyd and its aftermath

All through the past many weeks we have witnessed through the media scenes of the Black Lives Matter protests and demonstrations that erupted in the wake of the death of an African American named George Floyd in the U.S., starting from the city of Minessota, where the 46-year-old was killed by a policeman, and then spreading to more than 2,000 other U.S. cities and hundreds of cities around the world at a rate that even Covid-19 would envy. We have also seen disturbing scenes of the violence, destruction and looting that punctuated the protests at levels not seen in the U.S. for decades. To date more than more than 25 people have died during the protests, the majority due to gunshot wounds. Reportedly, the death toll includes police officers. Thousands have been injured, including hundreds of police officers, some of them seriously. The losses caused by vandalism and looting have not yet been estimated. Statues and other public monuments have been vandalised, some of them reportedly even belonging those who campaigned for the abolition of slavery! Our eyes also have been blessed to see the circus freak sideshow called “Chop” (acronym for “Capitol Hill Organized [or Occupied] Protest”) in Seattle, Washington, changed from the earlier name of “Chaz” (“Capitol Hill Autonomous Zone”).

The U.S. protestors believe that police brutality unequally targets African Americans, that the police present a danger to blacks and that there is systemic (or institutional) racism in the U.S. police in particular and more generally in all spheres of American society. They demand “justice” for certain blacks killed in encounters with the police, including Floyd, and their solution to police brutality is reflected in the slogan “Defund the Police” seen on protest placards.

BLM movement and its development

The Black Lives Matter (BLM) organisation was founded in the US in 2013 in response to a jury acquiting a police officer charged with second-degree murder and manslaughter of a 17-year-old black youth named Trayvon Martin in Florida in 2012. Following the 2014 deaths of two African Americans, Michael Brown in the U.S. city of Ferguson and Eric Garner in New York City, the organisation became nationally recognized for street demonstrations. Since then the participants in the movement have been involved in demonstrations against the deaths of numerous other blacks by police actions and/or in police custody.

The professed mission of the movement is “to eradicate white supremacy and build local power to intervene in violence inflicted on Black communities by the state and vigilantes,” according to its official website. It believes that blacks are “systematically targeted for demise” and there is “systemic racism” against them. This organisation is now a part of a coalition of groups subscribing to the same views and having a broader objective of bringing about other policy changes (political, economic and social) that it considers necessary for “black liberation.” They advocate for, inter alia, “economic justice” (=”socialism”), black illegal migrants (whom they euphemistically term “undocumented folks”), fully state-funded education, lgbtq+ rights, an end to immigration detention, an end to “the war on drugs,” the release of virtually all prisoners from jails, an “end to all jails” (!) and more. All the groups that form part of this broader coalition, called “Movement for Black Lives” (M4BL), are anti-capitalist and leftist/Marxist in their ideology. They are now well organised and funded.

The mainstream media such as the CNN and the BBC with their patently biased coverage have been supportive of the BLM protests, having bought into the BLM narrative about systemic racism in the police and the U.S. in general. They have always been at pains to describe the protests as “peaceful” or, at least, “largely peaceful,” suppressing or glossing over the violence and destruction that accompanied them. It is sad to note that all the contributors to this journal who touched on the protests have written approvingly of them, with callous regard of the additional deaths, mayhem and destruction that resulted from them. Some even seemed to think it would be a good thing if similar protests were replicated in our country too. (Our own leftist outfit FSP did try to get a piece of the action, but were cut short but police intervention.)

Bu what is the truth? Do the relevant facts and statistics corroborate the grievances and claims of these groups?

Blacks more likely to be killed by cops because they commit crime at higher rates

According to a 2018 study published in PNAS (Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the U.S.), based on data from 2013 to 2018, the risk of black men and boys being killed by the police over the life course is about 1 in 1000 while white men and boys face a lifetime risk of about 39 per 100,000. (The actual numbers of whites killed yearly are consistently higher than for other races/ethnic groups, because the whites constitute about 72% of the U.S. population.) Therefore blacks are about 2.5 times more likely to be killed by the police over the life course than are white men. Black women are about 1.4 times more likely to be killed by the police than are white women.

The study also presents risk figures for other U.S. minorities, according to which American Indian men and women are also more likely to be killed by the police than white men and women and Latino men are more likely to be killed than white men but Latino women are less likely to be killed than white women. Interestingly, the study states, “Both Asian/Pacific Islander men and women are more than 50% less likely to be killed by police than are white men and women, respectively.” (Yes, you saw it right: We brownies from Sri Lanka, India, etc. are less likely to be killed by the U.S. police than the white folk!) According to the findings of the study, the highest levels of inequality in mortality risk are experienced by black men with the risk peaking between the ages 25 and 29.

The above figures correlate well with the crime rates of the various racial/ethnic groups in the U.S. According to the crime statistics for 2017 released by the U.S. Department of Justice, the whites, who form 72.4% of the population (as per 2010 estimate), accounted for 68.9% of those arrested for crimes. Blacks/African Americans, who form 12.6% of the population, accounted for 27.2% of the arrests. Blacks were the subject of arrest in 53.1% of the murders/nonnegligent manslaughters while whites represented 44.2% of the arrests for those same crimes in 2017. These figures indicate that blacks have rates of arrest disproportionate with their numbers in the population and hence correspondingly disproportionately high levels of encounters with the police, which explains the disproportionately high levels in the mortality risk of blacks.

It may be objected that the high arrest rates of blacks could be interpreted as the police being racist. However, descriptions of offenders by victims of crime generally corroborate crime statistics by race/ethnicity, which rules out police bias.

The high crime rates of blacks and certain other racial/ethnic minorities in the U.S. have also been the rationale for the (controversial) practice of “racial profiling” by the police, which is “the act of suspecting or targeting a person on the basis of assumed characteristics or behavior of a racial or ethnic group, rather than on individual suspicion.” Hispanic an Latino Americans, too, are subjects of racial profiling in the investigation of illegal immigration. Since 9/11 U.S. muslims, too, have reportedly been subjected to racial profiling. (Once upon a time, Sri Lanka, too, had its own racial profiling when Tamils in the south were stopped, searched and “harassed” in the streets during the time of the war with the LTTE. That was because at that time, while not all Tamils were terrorists, all terrorists were Tamils!)

Blacks not more likely to be killed by white cops

Another study titled “Officer characteristics and racial disparities in fatal officer-involved shootings” (2019) published in PNAS says, “There is widespread concern about racial disparities in fatal officer-involved shootings and that these disparities reflect discrimination by White officers. … We find no evidence of anti-Black or anti-Hispanic disparities across shootings, and White officers are not more likely to shoot minority civilians than non-White officers.”

The foregoing facts and stats give the lie to the Black Lives Matter movement’s accusations of systemic racism againt the U.S. police. Black cops also kill blacks in police actions–some say that blacks are more likely to killed by black policemen than by white ones–but it is only when a white cop kills a black suspect that it becomes a racism issue. In view of these facts, the current BLM slogan with a parenthetical addition would produce a more accurate slogan: “Black Lives Matter (only when a black is killed by a white policeman).”

Statistically, a white person has a higher probability of being killed in the U.S. by a non-white than than a black has of being killed by a non-black. Whites would not attribute this to any racist attitudes towards them by non-white minorities, but to the higher crime rates of minorities generally. Similarly, blacks with their highest crime rates have the highest fatal encounters with the police.

Some instructive videos

There is an interesting video captioned “THIS is What Happens When Protestors are Confronted with Data and Facts” on the YouTube channel “The Daily Wire,” in which a group of BLM marchers respond with incredulity, denial and unprintable language when informed, inter alia, that more whites are killed by the police every year than blacks and that white police officers are not more likely to kill blacks than their non-white colleagues. These empty-headed, emotion-driven protesters clearly have no knowledge of the pertinent facts and stats, and are the brainwashed products of a leftist academia, entertainment industry and media, which promote a false narrative of systemic racism against blacks in the U.S., a culture of victimhood and “white priviledge.”

It is interesting that the “peaceful” BLM protestors (“peaceful” if you disregard the immense inconvenience other users of the roads and public places have been subjected to and the losses to businesses by the protesters’ presence) were mostly young white men and women, which no doubt at least partly is a reflection of their demographic, while most looters appeared to be black! The Corona pandemic also seems to have done its part in being an accessory to swelling the numbers of protestors everywhere through mass unemployment resulting from the lockdowns (Idle hands are the devil’s workshop?). Social distancing rules relating to the ongoing Corona pandemic were flouted as thousands turned out for these demonstrations.

For a case similar to George Floyd’s but not involving a black man, see this video. No outcries of racism by BLM groups then.

In this video a 75-year- old white man is pushed and knocked down in the street as he blocks the path of policemen during Floyd protests. No prices for guessing what the BLM’s reaction would have been had it been a black old man (or a black of any age for that matter).

In this video retired Sheriff David Clarke, a vociferous black critic of the BLM movement, expresses his views.

Is defunding the police the answer?

The Floyd incident has given rise to calls for “defunding” the police, which goes beyond just reforming the U.S. police. In its least radical form defunding means reallocating some of the funds from police departements to social programs (poverty alleviation, violence-prevention programs, etc.) and other agencies to reduce their contact with the public to reduce the likelihood of police violence. As an example for the latter, it is argued that mental health calls by the public should be responded to by trained mental-health and medical professionals, not armed police, as is done now. But the public make such calls in the first place because the mental patient is experiencing behavioural-health issues with the potential for violence, which a doctor or a nurse is unable to handle. The concept of defunding the police exists on a spectrum and in its most radical form it means disbanding the police, with defunding an initial step towards creating an entirely different model of community-led public safety. But proponents of this idea are lacking in specifics as to what alternative model would replace the police as presently constituted. The reality is that whatever replaces the present police, if it is to be effective, would still have to be a police “by any other name.”

The “defundists” of various hues are motivated by, at best, a naive utopian idealism and, at worst, by a tolerance of criminality. The utopians are naively ignorant of the fact that human nature is intrinsically evil and that, while a few would do what is right because it is what is right, there are many who need coercion. Can you imagine, for example, what would happen if there were only traffic rules but no traffic cops to monitor and enforce them? There are those who would try to reduce police contact with the police (and thereby reduce the potential for a violent outcome) by decriminalising some of what are presently criminal offences but do not involve violence. Floyd’s case, where he was trying to pass a fake 20 dollar bill, is held out as an example. As mentioned above, BLM movement, among other things, demand an “end to the war on drugs.”

Fears of unrest fueled by the Corona pandemic saw Americans buying guns and ammunition at record rates this year. Fears of personal safety caused by the protests that, at times, descended into riots, arson and looting in cities across the United States, coupled with the rise of the movement to defund the police, have resulted in a further spike in gun and ammunition sales, with first-time buyers accounting for about 40% of the sales according to a survey conducted in May (source: CNN). When the citizens of a country feel that the state cannot protect them, they take steps to defend themselves. More and more Americans now are realizing the value and importance of the second amendment to the U.S. constitution, which guarantees the right of American citizens to keep and bear arms.

President Donald Trump has signed an executive order outlining several police reforms (e.g., investing more in training, creating a database to trace abuses by police officers) while rejecting calls to defund or dismantle the police. While there may be a place for police reforms, considering that virtually all police shootings are the result of criminal suspects’ resisting arrest, it is they who are in need of reform. When citizens are brought up in a culture of disrespect against the police and law enforcement, fatal shootings by police officers, even of unarmed suspects, is one consequence. The Floyd incident was a clear-cut case of police brutality and no defence can be offered for that. All four officers involved have since been fired and criminally charged. But other high-profile deaths of blacks in police encounters which sparked off earlier rounds of BLM protests were different and involved the suspects turning violent. For example, the death of Rayshard Brooks on 12 June, which led to another spate of BLM protests, was entirely due to the suspect violently resisting arrest and subsequently grabbing an officer’s taser and firing at him. (Videos of the incident are available on the internet and the readers can judge for themselves.) A not insignificant number of policmen, too, die every year in encounters with criminals.

It behooves the Black Lives Matter folk to look inwards and find solutions within their own community, such as teaching their children to be cooperative and respectful with the police, not resist arrest, take responsibility for their own lives and actions avoiding bad life choices, and addressing the culture of violence prevalent in their community, rather than attempting to reform the rest of society.

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