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Tuesday, 9 June 2020

The 22 states where COVID-19 is on RISE: Worrying new figures show uptick in infections across mainly southern states - and impact of mass protests has YET to be seen

  • Twenty two states are seeing an increase in new COVID-19 cases as states continue to slowly reopen and George Floyd protests are held across the country 
  • Arizona has seen infections increase by more than 90% in a week, while Arkansas and Utah have gone up more than 60%
  • Massachusetts, Florida and New Mexico's cases have increased by more than 40% compared to a week prior
  • Michigan's cases soared more than 150% last week due to the state including nearly 5,000 probable cases
  • Experts have been warning that large George Floyd protests held across the US could touch off a new outbreak of the disease 
  • It comes as the University of Washington's Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation revised its projected death toll upwards on Tuesday by 5,000 fatalities 
  • The latest forecast predicts 145,728 people will die in the US by August 4, which is up from the 140,496 fatalities projected on June 5
  • More than 110,000 Americans have now died from COVID-19 in the last three months and over 1.9 million people have been infected 
  • The new estimate came on the same day that Texas reported its highest number of hospitalizations and 22 states showed increases in new confirmed cases  
  • Here’s how to help people impacted by Covid-19
MailOnline US - news, sport, celebrity, science and health storiesTwenty two states are seeing an increase in new COVID-19 cases as states continue to slowly reopen and George Floyd protests are held across the country - as a top forecast model increased the predicted death toll in the United States to 145,000 fatalities by August.  

Arizona has seen infections increase by more than 90 percent in a week, while Arkansas and Utah have gone up more than 60 percent. Massachusetts, Florida and New Mexico's cases have increased by more than 40 percent compared to the week prior.

Michigan's cases soared more than 150 percent last week due to the state including nearly 5,000 probable infections. 

The increases comes after all 50 states at least partially lifted coronavirus lockdown measures last month.   

Infectious disease experts have also warned that large protests held in major US cities after the death of George Floyd in Minneapolis two weeks ago could touch off a new outbreak of the disease. They say it is too early to tell if the protests have had an impact on the increase in cases.

It comes as the University of Washington's Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation revised its projected death toll upwards on Tuesday by 5,000 fatalities.

The latest forecast predicts 145,728 people will die in the US by August 4, which is up from the 140,496 fatalities projected on June 5. Five days earlier, the model had been predicting 135,109 deaths.  

Researchers did not give a reason for the abrupt revision. 

More than 110,000 Americans have now died from COVID-19 in the last three months and over 1.9 million people have been infected.    
The University of Washington's Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation revised its projected death toll upwards on Monday by 5,000 fatalities, bringing the total number of deaths by August 4 to 145,728
The University of Washington's Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation revised its projected death toll upwards on Monday by 5,000 fatalities, bringing the total number of deaths by August 4 to 145,728

Arizona recorded an increase of more than 90 percent in new cases in the week ending June 7 compared with the previous seven days, according to a Reuters analysis of data from The COVID Tracking Project.

Michigan saw a 158 percent increase in new cases last week due mainly to the state reporting 5,000 probably cases on June 5. 

Arkansas, Utah, New Mexico and Massachusetts all saw weekly increases of more than 40 percent and new cases in Florida, Arkansas, South Carolina and North Carolina all rose by more than 30 percent in the past week. 

In New Mexico, about half of the new cases were from one prison in Otero County, state health officials said. Utah said at least 287 of the state's 2,269 new cases were tied to an outbreak at a meat processing plant in Cache County. 

Florida attributed its increase to more testing, while the other states have not commented on the increase in cases. 

New cases in Texas were up 19 percent in a week, according to the analysis. Data from the Texas Department of State Health Services showed that the state had recorded a record number of COVID-19 hospitalizations on Monday with 1,935 people admitted to hospitals. It tops the previous record of 1,888 hospitalizations on May 5. 

The national number of new infections in the first week of June increased by 3 percent - the first increase after five weeks of declines, according to an analysis.  

Despite all states having at least partially reopened, only 16 states and the District of Columbia met the CDC's criteria for 14 days of declining new cases in the last week.

Pennsylvania and New York lead with eight straight weeks of declines. 

Twenty one US states reported weekly increases in new cases of COVID-19 with Arizona, Utah and New Mexico all posting rises of 40 percent or higher for the week ended June 7 compared with the prior seven days, according to an analysis that shows data as of Sunday each week between March 1 to June 7
Twenty one US states reported weekly increases in new cases of COVID-19 with Arizona, Utah and New Mexico all posting rises of 40 percent or higher for the week ended June 7 compared with the prior seven days, according to an analysis that shows data as of Sunday each week between March 1 to June 7
STATES WHERE COVID-19 CASES INCREASED IN THE LAST WEEK
STATE TOTAL CASES NEW CASES WEEKLY CHANGE
Michigan*64,413 7,016 +158.1% 
Arizona 26,889 6,953 +93.3% 
Arkansas 9,426 2,173 +63.3% 
Utah 12,066 2,269 +61.5% 
Massachusetts 103,436 6,471 +50.8% 
Florida 63,938 7,775 +46.8% 
New Mexico 8,800 1,176 +41.9% 
Kentucky 11,287 1,583 +39.7% 
South Carolina 14,286 2,425 +37.4% 
Oklahoma 7,150 644 +37.3% 
North Carolina 35,546 6,957 +29.6% 
Nevada 9,649 1,056 +28.3% 
Missouri 14,553 1,406 +21.3% 
Texas 74,978 10,691 +19.6% 
Georgia 51,898 4,912 +18.4% 
Tennessee 26,381 3,375 +18.0% 
Louisiana 42,816 2,900 +5.6% 
New Hampshire 5,019 474 +3.9% 
South Dakota 5,438 445 +3.5% 
California 128,812 18,229 +2.0% 
Connecticut 43,968 1,767 +2.0% 
*Michigan added nearly 5,000 probable cases on June 5
The national number of new infections in the first week of June increased by 3 percent - the first increase after five weeks of declines, according to an analysis
The national number of new infections in the first week of June increased by 3 percent - the first increase after five weeks of declines, according to an analysis

Texas sets record-breaking high for coronavirus hospitalizations with 1,935 patients admitted, one month after the state reopened early 

Texas reported a record-breaking number of COVID-19 hospitalizations on Monday as the governor ushered in Phase III to reopen the state's economy. 

The Texas Department of State Health Services revealed that 1,935 people were admitted to hospitals for coronavirus-related treatment on Monday.

It compares to the previous record set on May 5 when 1,888 hospitalizations were recorded. 

As of Monday evening, Texas has recorded 75,616 case of COVID-19 and reached a death toll of 1,836.

New infections in Texas have increased by 71 per cent over the past two weeks, according to the 14-day trend line provided by health officials. 

Although hospitalizations are on the rise, Texas has more than 1,600 a intensive-care beds and 5,8000 ventilators available for ill residents.

The department's latest figures come after Texas Gov. Greg Abbot began the next phase of the state's reopening plan after ending lockdown orders in May. 
 
Many states have ramped up COVID-19 testing in recent weeks and a record 545,000 tests were reported in a single day last week across the US. 

Nationally, the rate of positive tests has hovered between 4 percent and 7 percent for several weeks. 
At least 28 states are currently not following CDC recommendations to include probable cases in their infection totals. Probable infections are when a person display symptoms of COVID-19 but a lab test has not confirmed it. 

California, Florida, New York and Texas are among the states not including probable cases. 
The CDC's reporting guidelines for COVID-19 are only voluntary. 

The increase in cases comes after all 50 US states reopened - some before meeting the White House and CDC's guidelines, including a 14-day downward trajectory of new infections. 

Top health officials have said they are monitoring the potential spread of COVID-19 as widespread protests continue across the US in the wake of George Floyd's death in Minneapolis on May 25. 

Thousands of Americans have jammed the nation's streets over the past week in defiance of social distancing guidelines from governors and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

The White House coronavirus task force, which has dramatically scaled back its operations as states reopen their economies, is scrambling to track the potential impact on infection rates.

Public health officials have been warning that the widespread protests could fuel new transmissions of coronavirus due to the close proximity of protesters and given that some are not wearing masks.  

The CDC said on Sunday it was closely monitoring the nationwide protests for any potential COVID-19 outbreaks.

'It is too early to know what, if any, effect these events will have on the federal COVID-19 response,' CDC spokesperson Kristen Nordlund said.

'Every local situation is different. State and local officials will make decisions to protect public health and safety based on circumstances on the ground.' 

It could take weeks to judge the impact of the nationwide protests on the spread of COVID-19, which had been dramatically ebbing across most of the country before the killing of Floyd.

Those infected with the virus sometimes take several days to display symptoms, creating a lag in the data.

Many protesters were also masked and skewed younger - a population that is less affected by the virus but may also have greater numbers of asymptomatic spreaders - complicating predictions. 

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